10 Nov · 10:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vihen Saakian
ELO 1499
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurliuk
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1534
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as favourite 69% (77)
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.