10 Nov · 06:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1415
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lyman
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1457
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lyman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H22-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)