10 Nov · 06:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1456
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Voinarovskyi
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1541
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Voinarovskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H16-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-10)