10 Nov · 10:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1575
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Savoliuk
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1560
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H20-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.