10 Nov · 08:30 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1340
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lyman
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1457
FormWLWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Lyman
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~71 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H74-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-15)