10 Nov · 09:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1905
FormLWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Danyliuk
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1725
FormWLLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+180
H2H108-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (108-40)