10 Nov · 10:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1774
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molochko
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1805
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zeniuk🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 66% (140)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H62-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.