10 Nov · 07:25 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1651
FormLLLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Rak
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1459
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Rak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~73 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+192
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)