10 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1559
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sabuka
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1479
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
🌟Cmil covers set handicap as underdog 70% (125)
Fair odds · Sabuka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H7-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)