10 Nov · 09:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1479
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1504
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cmil🌟Cmil covers set handicap as underdog 70% (125)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.