10 Nov · 09:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1616
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dobias
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1580
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kocvara🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (364)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H13-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.