10 Nov · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1479
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cmil
MO
🇺🇦Martin Obraz
ELO 1395
FormLWWLW
59%
41%
🌟Cmil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (160)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)