10 Nov · 06:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1905
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Danyliuk
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1819
FormWWWWL
59%
41%
🌟Verbyany covers set handicap as underdog 63% (215)
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H154-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (154-66)