10 Nov · 09:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1655
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hlavacek
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hlavacek
ELO 1683
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wasik🌟Hlavacek goes over total as favourite 66% (38)
Fair odds · Hlavacek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.