10 Nov · 10:05 MEZLow · Coin Flip
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1558
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kovshun
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1546
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H16-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.