10 Nov · 08:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1559
FormWWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sabuka
MO
🇺🇦Martin Obraz
ELO 1395
FormLWWLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Sabuka
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)