10 Nov · 10:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1443
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tiutiunnyk
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1532
FormWWLLW
41%
59%
🌟Tiutiunnyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (108)
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)