11 Nov · 09:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Danylo Kasian
ELO 1535
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kozoriz
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1596
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Kasian covers set handicap as underdog 72% (54)
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)