11 Nov · 08:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 1941
FormWWWWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Ponomarenko
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1686
FormLWWLL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 86% · 1.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
10%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+255
H2H147-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+255)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (147-11)