11 Nov · 08:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1550
FormWWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1669
FormWLLWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)