11 Nov · 07:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1637
FormLWLWW
33%
67%
🌟Moshovskyi covers set handicap as underdog 63% (106)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)