11 Nov · 11:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1489
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fashchevskyi
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moshovskyi🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (150)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.