11 Nov · 10:20 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1550
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mishchenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1532
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Mishchenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (37)
Fair odds · Mishchenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.