11 Nov · 10:05 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1576
FormWLLLW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moshovskyi🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (352)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H17-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-12)