11 Nov · 11:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1641
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chuhai
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1718
FormLLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H86-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (86-27)