11 Nov · 06:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Danylo Kasian
ELO 1535
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kasian
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1425
FormLWLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Kasian
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)