11 Nov · 09:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hlavacek
ELO 1707
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hlavacek
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1678
FormWWWWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bouska🌟Bouska covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Hlavacek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.