11 Nov · 07:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1678
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Bouska
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1607
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
🌟Dobias covers set handicap as underdog 66% (86)
Fair odds · Bouska
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)