11 Nov · 09:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1455
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1543
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)