11 Nov · 11:25 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1436
FormLLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kozoriz
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1596
FormLWWWW
34%
66%
🌟Kozoriz stays under total as favourite 71% (129)
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)