11 Nov · 08:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1489
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1576
FormWLLLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fashchevskyi🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (352)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H37-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-28)