11 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1532
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sabuka
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1570
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sabuka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.