11 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1543
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Khalenko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1474
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H24-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-18)