11 Nov · 09:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VC
🇺🇦Vladimir Chornobab
ELO 1625
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1669
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)