11 Nov · 11:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1413
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Blazek
MO
🇺🇦Martin Obraz
ELO 1391
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Blazek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (40)
Fair odds · Blazek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H13-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.