11 Nov · 08:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1532
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Seliuchenko
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1492
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Yurkov🌟Yurkov covers set handicap as underdog 74% (124)
Fair odds · Seliuchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H13-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.