11 Nov · 07:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VC
🇺🇦Vladimir Chornobab
ELO 1625
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nitchenko
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1645
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chornobab🌟Nitchenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (87)
Fair odds · Nitchenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.