11 Nov · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1504
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sabuka
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1570
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Jirousek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (102)
Fair odds · Sabuka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)