11 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇺🇦Andrii Vasylets
ELO 1640
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chuhai
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1718
FormLLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H26-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-23)