11 Nov · 11:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 1941
FormWWWWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Ponomarenko
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1712
FormLWLWW
73%
27%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 90% · 1.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+229
H2H68-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+229)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-1)