11 Nov · 09:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1504
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jirousek
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1499
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plyska🌟Jirousek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (91)
Fair odds · Jirousek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.