11 Nov · 08:25 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1596
FormLWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kozoriz
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1425
FormLWLLW
67%
33%
🌟Kozoriz stays under total as favourite 71% (129)
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)