11 Nov · 08:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1438
FormWWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Ponomarenko
OE
🇺🇦Oleh Efimov
ELO 1291
FormWWWLL
65%
35%
🌟Ponomarenko stays under total as favourite 64% (152)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+147
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)