24 Jun · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1487
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1550
FormLWLWL
45%
55%
Fair value · Sindler
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)