TT Cup Predictions

A transparent Elo model for TT Cup table tennis (Czechia) · updated 11 h ago

Setka Cup Czech Liga Pro TT Elite Series TT Cup Setka Cup Women Challenger Series

Model Track RecordCalibration: Fair

Walk-forward · last 11.288 graded predictions

53.9%Pick Accuracy

0.248Brier Score

0.689Log Loss

★ Featured Match▮▮▮ High Confidence

23 Jun · 10:55 UTCTip: Tichy

🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik

ELO 1451

FormLWLWL

64%AI Win ChanceClear Favorite · Tichy

🇨🇿Dominik Tichy

ELO 1691

FormLWWWW

36%

64%

Expected WinnerTichy

Elo Advantage+240

ConfidenceHigh

Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts

1-3

24%

2-3

21%

0-3

19%

3-2

15%

3-1

13%

Why this pick? · 2 reasons

✓Higher Elo rating (+240)
✓Better recent form (4-1)

Full prediction page →

Recent Results

Every prediction scored against the real result — nothing hidden.

48%

96 of last 200

Kamil Kos vs Jakub Komorowicz

Zdenek Dusek vs Tomas Barsa

22 Jun · 22:30 UTC

pick Barsa 55%

2-3

Lukasz Buklat vs Kiejda Patryk

Zbynek Vyskocil vs Tomas Cerveny Jr

Jaromir Zlamal vs David Jicha

22 Jun · 21:50 UTC

pick Zlamal 51%

3-1

Szymon Toborek vs Marcin Zabinski

22 Jun · 21:40 UTC

pick Toborek 52%

1-3

Jan Vidourek vs Tomas Trnka

22 Jun · 21:35 UTC

pick Vidourek 54%

0-3

Tomas Cerveny Jr vs Zbynek Vyskocil

Martin Stusek vs Tomas Vorisek

22 Jun · 21:20 UTC

pick Stusek 50%

3-0

Jiri Matus vs Lukas Krupnik Jr

Tomas Ogrocki vs Jan Przybyla

22 Jun · 21:10 UTC

pick Ogrocki 57%

3-0

Ladislav Vosyka vs Martin Jirasek

Marcin Zabinski vs Jakub Komorowicz

22 Jun · 21:00 UTC

pick Komorowicz 55%

2-3

Zdenek Dusek vs Tomas Barsa

22 Jun · 20:55 UTC

pick Barsa 57%

3-2

David Jicha vs Martin Stusek

22 Jun · 20:50 UTC

pick Stusek 53%

3-0

Jakub Lysek vs Patrik Sturma

Oldrich Vaclahovsky vs Karel Zeman

Martin Jirasek vs Jan Vidourek

Lukasz Buklat vs Szymon Toborek

Zbynek Vyskocil vs Tomas Barsa

22 Jun · 20:25 UTC

pick Barsa 56%

0-3

Accuracy Over Time

Stable numbers across windows mean the model isn't drifting. Sample size shown so equal rates aren't misread.

Last 7 days

54.7%

n = 1.176Brier 0.247

Last 30 days

54.5%

n = 4.806Brier 0.247

All time

53.9%

n = 11.288Brier 0.248

Calibration

Predicted vs actual win rate per band — close numbers mean the probabilities are honest.

BandExpectedActualn

50–55%52.5%52.7%8285

55–60%56.7%56.4%2688

60–65%61.6%63.4%303

65%+67.2%75.0%12

Reliability

On the diagonal = honest. Above it = the model was too cautious, below = overconfident.

Prediction Distribution

Where today's win probabilities land — the model stays honest, not overconfident.

50–55%

56%

55–60%

31%

60–65%

12%

65%+

Elo Leaderboard

The strongest Setka Cup players by live Elo rating.

Petr Vanek

WWWWW

96M1697

Adam Duch

WWWWW

142M1692

Dominik Tichy

LWWWW

124M1691

Borek Moravec

WWWWW

104M1658

Ondrej Polak

WWWWW

76M1655

Tomas Bartik

WWLWW

92M1649

Dominik Lengal

LLWWW

84M1646

Jan Gembala

WWWWL

111M1636

Matej Holub

WWWWW

32M1635

Jakub Hitzger

WWWWL

20M1630

Jan Skvrna

WWWLL

230M1628

Martin Cerny

WLWLW

175M1625

Tomas Ogrocki

WWLWW

143M1617

Anton Veliiev

LLWLW

60M1614

Jan Osmera

WWLWL

100M1612

Jan Lisztwan

LLWLW

40M1609

Filip Sikora

WLWLW

76M1608

Jan Srnka

WWLLW

60M1604

Lukas Jirka

WLWWW

37M1601

Vojtech Konvicka

WLWWW

96M1601

Confidence tiersElite65%+High60–65%Medium55–60%Low<55%· win probability of the favourite

How it works. An Elo model trained on real TT Cup results estimates each player's strength; the win probability follows from the rating gap, temperature-calibrated against past outcomes. No market odds, no value claims — just transparent model output and its measured accuracy.

12.439 matches · 334 players tracked since 10 Apr 2026.

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