24 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1491
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Radlo
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1450
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
Fair value · Radlo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.