24 Jun · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1427
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1500
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
Fair value · Lysakowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H21-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-11)