24 Jun · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1421
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Burkacki
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1455
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair value · Burkacki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+34
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.