24 Jun · 12:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1511
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1498
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair value · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.