24 Jun · 21:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1456
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Janik
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1485
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Janik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.